Exxon Mobil Corp

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM.US Full Coverage
Last updated:
Volume
52W avg
Day Range
52W High
52W Low
Market Cap
Div Yield
Forward P/E
P/B

Headlines

FY2026 Q1
ExxonMobil’s Q1 adjusted earnings rose 15.7% YoY to $8.8 billion, while GAAP profit was limited to $4.2 billion by a $3.9 billion timing hit from derivatives and a $0.7 billion identified item. Upstream output increased 8% YoY, setting a new quarterly record in Guyana, and the Energy Products segment drove adjusted earnings up 227% to $2.8 billion, offset by two damaged Qatar LNG trains that affect roughly 3% of global production and will need 3‑5 years to repair. The firm maintained its $9.2 billion shareholder return, reaffirmed long‑term guidance, and signaled a more cautious outlook on low‑carbon power for data‑center customers.
Adjusted EPS (Excl. Timing Effects)
$2.09
↑ 20.8% YoY
GAAP EPS (Diluted)
$1.00
↓ 43.2% YoY
Operating Cash Flow (U.S. GAAP)
$8.7B
↓ 32.8% YoY
Oil-Equivalent Production
4,594 koebd
↑ 0.9% YoY
Energy Products Adj. Earnings (Excl. Timing Effects)
$2.8B
↑ 227.0% YoY

What We're Watching

Risk

Middle East Disruption & Qatar Restart

📅 Next Quarter
The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the subsequent restart timeline and ramp-up rate of the undamaged LNG trains in Qatar.
The swift and safe restart of these operations is a critical near-term driver for volume and cash flow recovery. Management anticipates a 1-2 month lag to normalize flows post-reopening.
Financial

Unwinding of Financial Timing Effects

📅 Next Quarter
The magnitude of the reversal of the -$3.9 billion unfavorable timing effect reported in Q1. Monitor for a corresponding positive impact on Q2 earnings.
This will be a key test of management's explanation that the effect is purely a temporary accounting mismatch. A successful unwind would validate the profitability of the underlying trading strategy, while a partial or delayed reversal could raise questions.
Risk / Strategic

Damaged Qatar Trains Repair Plan

📅 Ongoing
A more definitive repair timeline than the current 3-5 year estimate, and clarification on the commercial structure of the repair investment, particularly concerning contract extensions.
The repair of these assets represents a multi-year impact on ~3% of global production and significant capital outlay. A clearer plan is needed to assess the long-term impact on production forecasts and returns.
Strategic

Commercial Progress on Low Carbon Data Centers

📅 By Year-End 2026
A return to more optimistic commentary or the announcement of a signed offtake agreement with a hyperscaler for low-carbon power.
The more cautious tone this quarter suggests commercial hurdles. Tangible progress is needed to validate this key pillar of the Low Carbon Solutions growth strategy and demonstrate a viable market for high-cost decarbonization solutions.
Opportunity

Venezuela Heavy Oil Development

📅 Long-Term
Any changes to Venezuela's fiscal and legal framework that would create an attractive investment opportunity, or any initial technical or commercial agreements.
The CEO highlighted this as a massive, long-term resource opportunity. Concrete steps toward developing this resource would represent a significant upside catalyst not currently in the company's long-term plan.
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